And the winner is—anger

The election campaign is over and with Jason Kenney as Premier we can now pray the anger will disperse and Albertans can get back to civility.

This election loss will also hopefully allow Rachel Notley to regain peace and normality in her life. The Edmonton Journal should now find it unnecessary to routinely print cartoons depicting injury to Rachel Notley.

We can pray that the death threats against Notley will also stop and the angry tweets, signs and protests will be a thing of the past.

With the ‘old boys club’ back in power all should be well.

The fear, of course, is Kenney can’t deliver what he has promised – “make Vancouver carbon free by 2020”!

When Kenny’s government “stops the flow of oil to British Columbia” when they enact Bill 12, ‘Preserving Canada’s Economic Prosperity Act’ on April 30, it will trigger a B.C. court challenge, start an economic war between provincial neighbours and push the pipeline even further down the road.

Of course, Kenney could decide not to enact Bill 12 on April 30, but would he risk being a blatant liar one day into power?

Bill 1 for Kenney’s new government will be the Carbon Tax Repeal Act which will not reduce prices at the pumps as many Albertans mistakenly believe. Instead, it will immediately trigger Ottawa’s carbon tax and another lawsuit.

Kenney’s success at selling anger and hatred towards Notley and Trudeau during the election campaign gave him boldness to also go after Quebec.

Stumping around Alberta, Kenney portrayed Quebecers as the most ungrateful and hypocritical freeloaders in Canada. By election night, he switched to French hoping that Quebecers, with a few words of flattery, would now work with Alberta to deliver a pipeline east.

Kenney also left Ottawa with no options. The federal government originally approved the Trans Mountain pipeline based on Alberta’s robust climate strategy.

When Kenney throws that out the window, Ottawa simply won’t be able to approve the Trans Mountain pipeline and meet their international climate commitments.

Even politically, why would they with 17 Liberal seats to retain in B.C. and only four, already lost, in Alberta.

Unfortunately, Kenney has offended all allies and has over-promised what he can deliver on the pipeline. He has also completely exaggerated reality when he said repealing the carbon tax will create 6,000 jobs.

People who voted UCP have high hopes for these promises, yet I predict Kenney will break his first big promise as early as April 30, 2019.

Unrealistic election promises and broken promises lead to the necessity for an ongoing enemy.

Bill 1 isn’t intended to reduce prices at the pump for ordinary Albertans. It was always intended to shift the hate campaign from Notley to Trudeau and keep people angry for the federal election.

Kenney is betting the farm on Andrew Scheer winning the next federal election which may be possible. But he is also banking on the courts to overturn legal precedents with regard to interprovincial trade, federal/provincial jurisdiction, First Nations rights and environmental protection and that is a long shot, indeed, since much of it is constitutional law.

Rachel Notley knew the value of building goodwill and respect with the rest of the country as did former Premier Peter Lougheed.

During her term in office, the reason for conversation rather than threats was obvious—pipeline construction to coastal waters is completely outside of Alberta’s control—and all the bombast by Kenney is not going to change this fact, but it will keep Albertans angry.

 

B. Schimke

ECA Review

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